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Prime Minister Modi Will Not Permit Ukraine President Zelensky To Hijack G20 Leaders’ Summit In Bharat (Sanskrit for India). Channeling Bill Clinton… There Are Issues More Important Than Ukraine.

Prime Minister Modi Will Not Permit Ukraine President Zelensky To Hijack G20 Leaders’ Summit In New Delhi, Bharat (Sanskrit for India).

  • For example: “Oleg Ustenko, an economic adviser to President Volodymyr Zelensky, appealed for the EU, as well as the U.K. and the U.S., to close the “loophole” that allows third countries like India, China and Turkey to refine crude bought from Moscow's state energy firms into petrol, diesel and other products before selling them on without restrictions.”

India Taking Page From Bill Clinton’s Successful 1992 United States Presidential Campaign… “It’s The Economy, Stupid.”

There Do Exist Commercial, Economic, And Financial Issues More Important To More Countries Today Than Are The Status Of Ukraine And Outcome Of The Russian Federation-Ukraine War.  Those Countries May Be Mistaken, But Their Sovereign Right To Be Mistaken.

Interests Of Ukraine More Than Adequately Represented By Heads Of State And Heads Of Government Attending G20 Leaders’ Summit.

  • If someone meets without Ukraine, it doesn’t mean they speak without Ukraine.  Ukraine is like Hamlet's shadow, we are always there.”  Dmytro Kuleba, Minister of Foreign Affairs of Ukraine (2020-)

Leaders Tiring Of Genuflection To President Zelensky; His Desire To Cannibalize Every International Gathering.

President Zelensky Fails To Appreciate Less Can Be More- His Absence And Lack Of Pushiness And Demands Will Provide Space For Leaders To Discuss Rather Than React To His Increasingly, For Some Of Them, Tiresome Rhetoric.

Absence Of President Zelensky Will Permit President Erdogan Of Turkiye To Engage In Substantive Discussions With Other Leaders After His Visit With President Putin Of The Russian Federation.  President Biden Should Make An Effort To Meet With President Erdogan.

  • The government of the Russian Federation is crafting a replacement or augmentation to the 2022 Black Sea Grain Initiative (BSGI) which involves the government of the Republic of Turkiye along with a new partner, the government of Qatar.

Unlike G20 Leaders’ Summit in Bali, Sergey Lavrov, Minister Of Foreign Affairs Of The Russian Federation, Should Be Actively Engaged By Leaders Who Are Also Members Of The G7, G20, And EU.  Ignoring Him Is Unproductive.

President Biden Should Seek In New Delhi To Directly Engage With Minister Lavrov As The United States And Russian Federation Have Many Unresolved Issues- From Nuclear Proliferation To Incarcerated Citizens To Other Country Conflicts.  Such Discussions Would Demonstrate Leadership- Make An Opportunity Rather Than Omit An Opportunity.

President Biden Should Use The G20 Leaders’ Summit To Substantively Meet With, Not “Pull Asides” With Representatives From China, Egypt, Nigeria, Russian Federation, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, And Turkiye.  Irrelevant If A Meeting Is Planned For The United Nations General Assembly (UNGA) In New York In September. 

Far Too Much Focus By President Biden’s Staff Upon Confirming “Deliverables” In Advance- So Head Of State To Head Of State Meeting Becomes More Optics Than Substance.

The More Face-To-Face Dialogue, The Better… So Says Often President Biden.  

Face-To-Face Meetings Should Not Be Viewed As An Award, Rather Than As A Responsibility.

President Biden’s Participation Will Be A Failure If He Fails To Have Separate Bilateral Meetings With President Xi Jinping (Or Premier Li Qiang) Of China, Crown Prince (and Prime Minister) Mohammed bin Salman Al Saud of Saudi Arabia, And President Erdogan.

Narendra Modi, Prime Minister of the Republic of India (2014- ), as not invited President Volodymyr Zelensky, President of Ukraine (2019- ), as a guest to the G20 Leaders’ Summit scheduled for 9/10 September 2023 in New Delhi, Bharat (India).  President Zelensky remains visibly frustrated and privately angered that he is not obtaining what he wants to obtain.  He does not accept graciously an inability to bully his way into the gathering in New Delhi, India.

Prime Minister Modi correctly intends to focus the G20 Leaders’ Summit agenda upon climate, commercial, economic, financial, and humanitarian issues.  There will be space- but not all space, for discussion about the Russian Federation-Ukraine war.  Unhelpful for issues relating to Ukraine to squeeze-out other issues that have far more significant direct and immediate impact upon some countries. 

Officials of the Zelensky Administration have continued to contact members of the G7, G20, and NATO to seek their assistance towards obtaining an invitation for President Zelensky. 

Thus far, Prime Minister Modi remains steadfast, and rightly so.  Privately, most heads of state and heads of government scheduled to participate in the G20 Leaders’ Summit do not want President Zelensky as a guest.  He requires too much oxygen and therefore sucks too much oxygen from the room.

As the Russian Federation-Ukraine war in September 2023 suggests solidity rather than fluidity, which may certainly change should the armed forces of Ukraine achieve during the next months permanent real estate realignment within its borders, governments represented in the G20 view distastefully and increasingly an inevitability about a Russian Federation-Ukraine war absent meaningful real estate gains by either party.  Thus, its immediate importance and needed focus becomes less so.  Still significant, and consequential for some governments, but not requiring every gathering of countries to focus upon it- and provide a platform for President Zelensky to suffocate other issues on agendas.

  • G20: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, India, Indonesia, Italy, Japan, Mexico, ​Republic of Korea​,​ Russia, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, ​​​Turkiye, United Kingdom, United States and European Union (EU)​.

  • EU: Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, and Sweden.

  • BRICS: Brazil, Russian Federation, India, China, South Africa.  NOTE: Beginning January 2024, BRICS will expand to include Argentina, Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia.  Currently, BRICS represents approximately 42% of the world’s population and approximately 23% of the world’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

  • NATO: United States, United Kingdom, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Iceland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Albania, Lithuania, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Croatia, Czech Republic, Poland, Estonia, Romania, Germany, Slovakia, Greece, Slovenia, Hungary, Spain, Turkiye, Latvia, and North Macedonia.  The 600-member Grand National Assembly of the Republic of Turkiye is expected to approve in September 2023 the ascension of the Kingdom of Sweden- which has no border with the Russian Federation.  The 199-member National Assembly of Hungary (Country Assembly) has yet to approve the ascension of the Kingdom of Sweden. 

15% (or 20%) of EU members in G20.  Three members of the twenty-seven member EU are members of the twenty-member G20.  NOTE: Including Spain, which is a “permanent guest” at G20 Leaders’ Summits, there would be 20% of EU members represented in the G20.

25% of BRICS members in G20.  All five members of BRICS are members of the twenty-member G20.  NOTE: As of January 2024, Saudi Arabia will be a member of BRICS, so there will be six members of the then twelve-member BRICS who are also members of the G20.  As of January 2024, 30% of BRICS members will be in the G20.

35% of NATO members in G20.  Seven members of thirty-one member NATO are members of the twenty-member G20.

G20 India 2023 Leaders’ Summit Participants​​​​​​​​​​​​

In addition to the G20 members, other countries are invited to participate. Spain is a permanent guest invitee to the G20 meetings.

As host, Prime Minister Modi has invited as guests Bangladesh, Egypt, Mauritius, Netherlands, Nigeria, Oman, Singapore, and United Arab Emirates.

International Organizations “that have historically contributed to the G20 work are invited as well.  These include the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), the Financial Stability Board (FSB), the International Labour Organization (ILO), the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the United Nations (UN), the World Bank Group (WBG), the World Health Organization (WHO) and the World Trade Organization (WTO).​​”

As host, Prime Minister Modi has invited the chairs of the African Union (AU), African Union Development Agency- New Partnership for Africa’s Development (AUDA-NEPAD), and Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN).

As host, Prime Minister Modi has invited as guests international organizations the International Solar Alliance (ISA), Coalition for Disaster Resilient Infrastructure (CDRI), and Asian Development Bank (ADB).

Russian Federation-Ukraine War Timeline 

  • On 24 February 2022, the armed forces of the Russian Federation invaded and further invaded the territory of Ukraine in what Vladimir Putin, President of the Russian Federation (2000-2008 and 2012- ), defined as a Special Military Operation [SMO] then on 22 December 2022 he redefined as a war.  The initial invasion of Ukraine by the armed forces of the Russian Federation was in part from the territory of Belarus.   

  • The war between the Russian Federation and Ukraine did not commence on 24 February 2022.  The roots began their trajectories on 20 February 2014 when the armed forces of the Russian Federation invaded the Crimean Peninsula and the area known as the Donbas Region (Donetsk Oblast and Luhansk Oblast).

LINK TO COMPLETE ANALYSIS IN PDF FORMAT