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Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister Of Canada, Channels Biden And Scholz During Visit To Ukraine. Reiterates No Pending NATO Membership. Ukraine Has Pushed Too Hard- And Now Faces Push-Back

Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister Of Canada, Channels Biden And Scholz During Visit To Ukraine.

Reinforces Ukraine Will Not Be A NATO Member While At War With Russian Federation.

Ukraine Has To Its Determent Pushed For NATO Membership- Result Is NATO Members Saying No- And At NATO Summit In July 2023 The Decision Will Be Official.

  • As Long As It Takesfrom Joseph Biden, 46th President of the United States (2021- )

  • As Long As Is Necessaryfrom Olaf Scholz, 35th Chancellor of the Federal Republic of Germany (2021- )

  • Until You Are Victorious from James Cleverly, Secretary of State of the United Kingdom (England, Scotland, Wales, Northern Ireland) for Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Affairs (2022- )

Justin Trudeau, Prime Minister of Canada (2015-), during a 10 June 2023 visit to Kyiv, the capital of Ukraine, referenced in separate remarks the phrases of President Biden and Chancellor Scholz.

  • Canada has provided to Ukraine $8 billion since the start of the invasion, including CA$1 billion in military aid, and we will continue helping your country as long as it necessary.”

  • Canada will continue to stand with Ukraine with whatever it takes, as long as it takes.”

As a direct result of Volodymyr Zelensky (2019- ), President of Ukraine, and elected and appointed officials within the government (executive branch and legislative branch) of Ukraine, relentlessly and reckless advocating for immediate membership in the thirty-one country Brussels, Belgium-based North American Treaty Organization (NATO), the result is as expected. 

Heads of state and heads of government of NATO member countries have become ever-more forceful, distinctive, and resolute that the government of Ukraine will not be a member of NATO, and NATO members will not make absolute commitments to defend the government of Ukraine while- and for substantial time after a cessation of hostilities between the government of the Russian Federation and the government of Ukraine.  NATO has no obligation to the government of Ukraine.  Despite objectives by the government of Ukraine, NATO military personnel will not engage on the ground within the territory of Ukraine against military personnel of the armed forces of the Russian Federation. 

  • From Prime Minister Trudeau: “Canada supports Ukraine to become a NATO member as soon as conditions allow for it.  Ukraine and Canada look forward to addressing these issues at the NATO Summit in Vilnius in July 2023.”

While leadership in governments express concern for “Ukraine Fatigue” they are now confronted with a more personalized “Zelensky Fatigue” whereby heads of state and heads of government, and taxpayers in those countries funding (and borrowing to fund) commercial, economic, financial, humanitarian, military, and political support for Ukraine are becoming less transfixed by, less unimmune to, and less inclined by invitations to “kiss the ring.”

  • North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO): United States, United Kingdom, Belgium, Canada, Denmark, Finland, France, Iceland, Italy, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Albania, Lithuania, Bulgaria, Montenegro, Croatia, Czech Republic, Poland, Estonia, Romania, Germany, Slovakia, Greece, Slovenia, Hungary, Spain, Turkiye, Latvia, and North Macedonia.  The Kingdom of Sweden awaits approval from the governments of the Republic of Hungary and the Republic of Turkiye.  

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Links To Related Analyses

6/7/23- First “as long as it takes” Then “as long as is necessary” And Now “until you are victorious”- UK Official Says; And Upends Essential Optic To Retain Support For Ukraine. Another US$22 Billion? 

4/27/23- Ukraine May Become A NATO Member, But Not While President Zelensky And President Putin Are In Office. NATO Secretary-General Pushing Past Forward Lines Of Support For Ukraine Membership.

4/20/23- NATO Secretary General Visits Kyiv. Supports Ukraine Membership In NATO. Unlikely For Many Years. Not All NATO Members Agree. Likely Issue For Next President Of Ukraine.

2/23/23- What Does “As Long As It Takes” Mean? Now We Know.  Will U.S. Look The Other Way If Ukraine Attacks Into Russian Federation? Off-The-Record: “We Can’t Stop Them And They Know It.”